1. U.S.-Ukraine, Russia 30-Day Ceasefire Talks
- U.S. and Ukraine considering a 30-day ceasefire with Russia
- Russia's approval required, China may play a mediation role
2. U.S. January Job Openings Increase, Labor Market Weakening Concerns
- January job openings at 7.74 million (+250,000 from previous month)
- Hires decreased to 1.635 million, raising concerns over labor market slowdown
3. Goldman Sachs Lowers U.S. GDP Growth Forecast
- 2025 U.S. GDP growth forecasted at 1.7% (downward revision)
- JPMorgan advises caution on stock market dip buying
4. EU Defense Spending Increase, Government Bond Yield Surge Expected
- Increased defense spending → Higher government bond issuance → Potential rise in European interest rates
- Despite ECB’s accommodative policy, bond yield pressure expected
5. China Government Bond Yields Decline, Large-Scale Bond Issuance Planned
- March 11: Government bond yield at 2.05%
- March 12: 10 trillion yuan in new bonds planned
6. Japan Q4 GDP Grows 0.4%, Falls Below Expectations
- Corporate investment and consumption slowing
- January jobless claims increase
7. Global Financial Market Key Indicators
1) Stock Market Trends
- U.S. S&P500: 5,572.1 (-0.76%)
- Europe Stoxx600: 536.89 (-1.70%)
- China CSI 300: 3,379.8 (+0.41%)
- Japan Nikkei 225: 36,793 (-0.64%)
- South Korea KOSPI: 2,537.6 (-1.28%)
2) Exchange Rate Movements
- U.S. Dollar Index: 103.44 (-0.45%)
- Euro: 1.0919 (+0.78%)
- Chinese Yuan: 7.2302 (-0.41%)
- Japanese Yen: 147.78 (+0.35%)
- South Korean Won: 1,455.0 (-0.03%)
3) Government Bond Yield Trends
- U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.28% (+7bp)
- Germany 10-Year Bond Yield: 2.90% (+6bp)
- UK 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.67% (+3bp)
4) Risk Indicators
- VIX (Volatility Index): 26.92 (-3.37%)
- CDS Premiums: South Korea: 32bp (+1bp), China: 49bp (No change)
5) Commodity Market
- WTI Crude Oil: $66.25 (+0.33%)
- Copper Price: 474.0 (+2.16%)
- Gold Price: 2,915.9 (+0.94%)